As the Meistriliiga heats up, we are set for a compelling clash between Harju Jalgpallikool and Kuressaare at the Laagri kunstmuru in Tallinn. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the league standings, with Harju currently sitting in 8th place and Kuressaare trailing closely in 9th. This encounter is crucial for both sides as they look to boost their respective positions in the league.
Harju Jalgpallikool comes into this match after a series of tough games, having lost four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing against Nõmme Kalju ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat. With only 14 points on the board from 17 matches, they will be desperate to add to their tally. Despite struggles in scoring (19 goals so far this season), they managed to net two goals against Tammeka a couple of weeks ago, showcasing glimpses of their potential.
Kuressaare, on the other hand, has had a similarly challenging run, losing three out of their last five encounters. Most recently, they fell to Tammeka in a high-scoring 3-2 match, indicating that while they can score (17 goals this season), they also have defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 34 goals so far. Their last head-to-head meeting saw Kuressaare come away with a 2-1 victory, which will give them a psychological boost going into this match.
The odds reflect a somewhat favorable outlook for the home team, Harju Jalgpallikool, who is listed at 1.90 to win. The implied probability suggests that they have a 52.63% chance of taking all three points. Kuressaare sits at 3.30 for a win, demonstrating they are seen as the underdog despite their recent victories over Harju Jalgpallikool. With the draw odds set at 3.60, it's evident that bookmakers expect a tightly contested match.
When it comes to statistics, Harju has struggled defensively, with 35 goals conceded, while Kuressaare has not fared much better with 34. Both teams feature a propensity for matches to see over 2.5 goals, as evidenced by Harju’s 70.59% of matches seeing this scenario, while Kuressaare is at 64.71%.
Given the high-scoring nature of both teams in recent matches and their defensive vulnerabilities, the over 2.5 goals market appears to be the best betting suggestion for this encounter. Backing this market could yield value, as both teams have shown a willingness to attack while struggling to keep clean sheets. Expect fireworks as both sides push for crucial points in the quest for league survival.
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