Prediction Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Season 2025 – Betting Tips for Copa Sudamericana on July 24, 2025

As the excitement builds in the Copa Sudamericana knockout round, Grêmio prepares to host Alianza Lima at the picturesque Arena do Grêmio in Rio. With high stakes on the line, this match promises to be a thrilling spectacle where both teams will be eager to showcase their resilience and ambition for continental glory.

Recent Form and Trends

Grêmio finds itself on an inconsistent stretch of form, with their last outing resulting in a draw against Vasco da Gama in Serie A. Prior to that, they suffered two defeats to Alianza Lima and Cruzeiro, each by a significant margin. Their previous match against Vasco da Gama, ending in a 1-1 stalemate, underscored their struggles, especially when it comes to finding the back of the net consistently—evident with only four goals in their last five contests. Grêmio holds a mixed record in their recent games, winning three and drawing twice, indicating that while they are capable of scoring, they often struggle to maintain defensive solidity.

Conversely, Alianza Lima enters this fixture buoyed by their recent successes. Despite suffering a setback against Cusco FC in their last match, they managed to decisively defeat Grêmio just a week prior by a score of 2-0 in the last encounter, proving they are more than a match for their Brazilian counterparts. Alianza Lima has shown defensive solidity with a clean sheet recently and a strong ability to capitalize on offensive opportunities, making them a formidable opponent traveling to Brazil.

Head-to-Head and Statistical Insights

The teams recently clashed on July 17, 2025, where Alianza Lima emerged victorious with a 2-0 scoreline, igniting the confidence of the Peruvian outfit. Historically, both sides will look to press the advantage in their individual matchups, but with Grêmio's tactical shift, they might have the upper hand when they host.

Grêmio boasts a commendable home record, with an average of 14 shots per game including a notable 41 shots on target overall. Their offensive strategy will likely focus on regaining the initiative and imposing pressure early on. On the flip side, Alianza Lima has shown the capacity to absorb pressure while exploiting gaps in defense, having an average of 67 dangerous attacks per game, making them lethal on the counter.

Betting Suggestions

In this thrilling matchup, the odds slightly favor Grêmio with a home win probability of 63.65% at 1.57, while Alianza Lima's chances rest at 17.39% with odds of 5.75. Given their historical win in the last encounter and Grêmio's recent shaky form, a captivating betting opportunity lies in backing Alianza Lima to either win or draw this match. A bet on the "draw" at 4.00 is enticing, as it captures the potential for another tight encounter where both teams will look to escape with at least a point from this crucial fixture.

Prepare for an unforgettable night of football where strategies will clash and every moment counts in the pursuit of advancement in the Copa Sudamericana!