Prediction Benfica vs Arouca Season 2024/2025 – Betting Tips for Liga Portugal on 13/04/2025

As the Liga Portugal season nears its climax, Benfica is poised to face Arouca in a match that has significant implications for both teams. With the clash set to take place at the iconic Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in Lisbon, the atmosphere promises to be electric—particularly as Benfica sits atop the league standings.
Home Team: Benfica’s Recent Dominance
Benfica has been a force to be reckoned with this season. With an impressive record of 22 wins, 2 draws, and only 4 losses in their previous 28 matches, they have solidified their position as the frontrunners in Liga Portugal. The Eagles have displayed outstanding form, winning their last five matches, including a resounding 5-0 victory against Tirsense in their most recent outing. Their coupled attacking prowess and solid defense, allowing only 23 goals thus far, underscores their supremacy. With 69 goals scored—43 of which have come at home—Benfica is an offensive juggernaut.
Statistically, they've been strong against lower-tier teams, and Arouca fits that description. The team leads the league with an astonishing 85.76% probability of winning according to betting odds, a testament to their current form and head-to-head history, having beaten Arouca in their previous encounter with a decisive 2-0 result.
Away Team: Arouca Struggling to Find Form
In stark contrast, Arouca has had a challenging season, languishing in the 12th position with just 29 points from 28 matches. Their record shows only 7 victories, along with 8 draws and 13 losses. After falling to Famalicão recently, Arouca’s confidence seems shaken. They’ve struggled to find the net consistently, totaling only 27 goals scored, alongside a worrying 43 goals conceded.
While Arouca may be tough to break down at times, their recent away performances indicate that they will face a mountain to climb against an in-form Benfica side. Their chances of snatching a victory are minimal, reflected in an odds value of 15.00 for an away win, equating to just a 6.67% probability.
Betting Tips
Considering the stark contrast in form, the match heavily favors Benfica. The odds of 1.16 for a home win look compelling, especially when gauged against Arouca's current troubles. A safe bet would be on Benfica to win, perhaps even with a margin of over 2.5 goals, as they have proven their ability to surpass that threshold consistently at home.
Combining a straight win for Benfica with an over 2.5 goals market could yield a promising return given their attacking talent and Arouca’s shaky defense. This clash promises an exciting affair that could bolster Benfica’s quest for the league title while adding more woes to Arouca's campaign.
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