Prediction Alianza Lima vs Grêmio Season – Betting Tips for Copa Sudamericana on July 17, 2025

Match Overview

The excitement is palpable as Alianza Lima prepares to face off against Grêmio in the knockout round of the Copa Sudamericana. Set to take place at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in Matute, this battle promises to be a thrilling encounter between two teams with distinct recent performances.

Alianza Lima, the home side, arrives at this matchup after a mixed bag of results. Notably, they drew 0-0 against Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca just five days prior. However, looking back a couple of weeks, they showcased their attacking prowess with a commanding 5-1 victory over Deportivo Binacional. Such a display of offensive capability highlights their potential to find the back of the net consistently.

On the flip side, Grêmio has experienced a rough patch leading into this encounter. After a heart-wrenching 4-1 defeat to Cruzeiro, their confidence may be slightly dented. While they managed to secure victories against teams like Juventude and Sportivo Luqueño earlier in the season, recent performances reflect a team that is struggling to strike the right balance between defense and attack.

Form and Statistics

In assessing the two teams’ statistics, Alianza Lima has shown resilience at home, but the recent draws could indicate stuttered momentum. Grêmio, while possessing the skill set to challenge any opponent, will need to shift gears after their recent loss. The pressure is certainly on, especially when examining Grêmio’s stats—only 33% of their away matches saw both teams score, a statistic which enhances the uncertainty of their attacking approach.

Conversely, Alianza's ability to clinch results, as seen in their recent games, makes them a formidable force at home. They have placed a substantial emphasis on attacking, which could force Grêmio into a more defensive setup, making for a tactical battle.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the odds, Alianza Lima is favored to win with a probability of 44.44%, while Grêmio’s chance is at a lower 30.3%, translating to odds of 2.25 and 3.30 respectively. Given Alianza’s home advantage and their recent offensive displays, placing a bet on Alianza Lima to win appears to be a astute choice.

Also considering the undercurrent of defensive struggles for Grêmio in their recent outings, a wager on Alianza Lima to score multiple goals in this match could also yield enticing returns. While the scores fluctuate, one could expect Alianza Lima to edge this contest, potentially with a scoreline favoring the home side.

In conclusion, the keen observers should brace for a tactical showdown, leaning toward a home victory where Alianza Lima shows their attacking flair and defensive resolve.